Name
The Asymmetric Impact of Oil Price Demand and Supply Shocks on Access to Finance
Date & Time
Tuesday, July 7, 2026, 12:20 PM - 12:45 PM
Description
Separating aggregate oil price shocks into demand and supply components, we examine their effects on firm-level financial constraints using 60,925 firm-year observations from 2002 to 2021 across 65 countries globally. Controlling for year- and firm-fixed effects, we find that oil demand shocks are negatively related to firms’ financial constraints. In contrast, oil supply shocks dampen firms’ ability to obtain external financing. Additional analysis reveals that the impact of oil price shocks on financial constraints is more pronounced for firms belonging to the oil industry, oil users, oil-related and non-oil substitute subsectors and firms in oil-exporting, developing, and emerging countries. We further observe that competitive industries and high market liquidity accentuate the oil price shocks’ impact on financial constraints. Our mechanism tests show that profitability and investment decrease (increase), and production costs, sales volatility, and cash flow volatility increase (decrease) in response to oil supply (demand) shocks, all of which are signs of firms experiencing binding (unbinding) financial constraints. Our main findings are robust to various modelling techniques and measures of financial constraints.
Mardy Chiah
Keywords
Oil price shocks, Access to finance, Financial constraints, International
Theme
FINANCE (OTHER)
Author 1
Sudipta Bose
Author 2
Mardy Chiah
Author 3
Md Lutfur Rahman