Name
Firm-level Labor-Related Exposure: An Artificial Intelligence Approach
Date & Time
Monday, July 6, 2026, 4:40 PM - 5:05 PM
Description

This paper quantifies labor-related exposure at the firm level by directly extracting labor discussions from earnings conference call transcripts using OpenAI GPT-4o model. The measure captures the relative emphasis on labor issues during management-analyst interactions, reflecting both management’s priorities and analysts’ concerns. It tracks macroeconomic trends, distinguishes between labor- and capital-intensive industries, and is validated against multiple firm labor-related outcomes. We find that firms with higher labor-related exposure scores exhibit lower labor productivity, lower market-perceived labor efficiency, slower subsequent employment growth, and higher likelihood of labor-related misconduct, as well as more severe labor-related penalties. Labor-related exposure is also positively associated with realized stock return volatility, confirming its relevance as a source of firm-specific uncertainty. Our analysis of corporate outcomes shows that higher labor-related exposure correlates with poorer future operating performance, as evidenced by lower return on assets (ROA), lower return on sales (ROS), and lower operating cash flows. We also identify a dual role of labor-related exposure in capital allocation: firms with higher exposure scores tend to reduce capital investments while simultaneously increasing R&D spending in the near term. This suggests that heightened labor-related exposure motivates firms to reallocate resources toward efficiency-enhancing innovations while suspending less attractive projects. Our findings highlight labor-related exposure as a distinct dimension of firm-level uncertainty and demonstrate the potential of large language models (LLMs) in advancing empirical research on labor dynamics.

Lerong Cai
Session Chair
Assoc Prof Anna Bedford, University of Technology Sydney
Discussant
Mrs Ruitang Zhang, Zhejiang University
Keywords
labor-related exposure; GPT-4o model; large language models (LLMs); Corporate conference call transcripts
Theme
CORPORATE FINANCE
Author 1
Lerong Cai
Author 2
Cameron Truong
Author 3
Xiaoxiao Yu